Sunday

Stock Market Trading for Beginners

Stock Market Trading for Beginners


There are certain things that beginners need to know before trading stocks and shares either online or over the phone. The stock market and consequently stock prices are driven by the professionals. As a beginner you cannot hope to have any influence on stock prices, therefore you must follow what the professional traders do.

As a beginner to stock trading, in order to be able to follow what professional stock market traders are doing then you obviously need to understand why they make the decisions they do.

It is important therefore to realize that professional stock traders use stock charts in stock trading. They look at the chart of a particular stock or index and, with the help of their expertise and certain indicators they decide whether it is heading up, down or sideways.

So, as a stock market beginner, where do you start ? The most basic thing you need to learn to be a stock trader is what the stock charts are telling you. There is no need to learn about company fundamentals, such as what the company makes or sells, what their profits are etc... and whether you can believe a word they say. Stock charts don't lie, they are purely mathematical.

It is also said that the "news comes out in the charts first" i.e. if there is bad news on the way then it will be reflected in the stock chart first, the stock price will start heading down. This is clearly not always true as sometimes a company will surprise everybody and out of the blue announce something totally unexpected which sends the share price soaring or spiralling down. But generally speaking, if a share price is heading up or down it is for a reason. That reason may just be that people are buying (or selling) the shares. But people will be buying the shares usually because they are looking at the stock chart and taking a decision based on their interpretation of it.

So as a beginner to the stock market and stock market charts what should you be looking for? First of all you need to understand moving averages. Moving averages show the average price of a stock over a given time period. One particularly important moving average to consider is the 200-day moving average. If you look at a stock using stock charting software or a stock site then you need to insert the 200 day moving average (this is done automatically if you click on the right button). If the stock price is below the 200 day moving average then this is not a good sign and you would do well not to buy that particular stock but to look for something else.

If you look at the charts of some of the famous banks over the last few years and put in the 200 day moving average, you will see when the stock price crossed below it and what happened next.

This is only applicable to short or medium term traders, long-term traders such as Warren Buffett generally don't bother too much with looking at stock charts to time their buys.

Another very basic comcept to understand if you are a beginner to stock investing is that of support and resistance. Quite often stocks trade in 'price channels' i.e. they will rise to a certain level then fall back down to a certain level then start to rise again. This is known as trending and traders will often just buy at the bottom of the trend, then sell when the stock reaches the top of the trend and wait for it to fall back to the bottom then start all over again.

The bottom of the trend is known as support and the top of the trend is known as resistance. Some traders say that that is all they use. They prefer to keep it simple. Look at a stock price, identify the trend and the channel and use a bit of common sense to buy low and sell high.

Sometimes of course a stock price will fall back to its support line and just keep on falling. This is where stop losses come in. You need to decide your stop loss before you place your trade. A stop loss is a price at which you automatically close your trade for a loss. Usually a stock trader will decide on a stop loss of around 4% or 5%,. So once they have lost 4 or 5% on a trade they close it, chalk it down to experience and move on to the next trade. The reason is that if you don't, your 5% loss may turn into a 45% loss very easily.

The stock market is not about being right all the time, that is impossible. It is about managing your risk - reward ratio. On a short to medium term trade a 'swing trader' will hope to make around 10% profit so he sets his stop loss around 4% thus making sure his potential loss is smaller than his potential gain.

Another basic rule that swing traders often apply is never to buy a share if the 5-day moving average is heading down. So make sure you take a look at this moving average at least before buying or selling any stocks.

Finally you need also to look at volume. Check out the volume of traders and see if is it higher than normal for the particular stock you are looking at. Generally speaking you want the stock price to be going up on high volume and falling back down on low volume. If the volume is high when the stock price is rising that is usually a positive sign.

These are just the most basic concepts of stock chart analysis but it is important to realize that professional stock traders are using their expensive software packages to analyze charts and you should consider learning the basics about technical analysis so that at least you have a hope of competing on a level playing field.

Home : Stock Market for Beginners

Tuesday

Beginners Stock Trading Strategies

Online Stock Trading for Beginners - First Decide your Online Trading Strategy


Swing Trading

If you are a beginner to stock trading you will need to decide what sort of trader you want to be - a day trader, a swing trader or a long-term buy-and-hold value investor. A day trader, as the name implies, opens and closes positions within the same day, often more than once and sometimes holding a position for just a few minutes. They base their decisions on very rapid chart and price movements - often they will decide the night before what they will trade the follwing day and when the stocks or indices hit the price they have been expecting then they will buy or sell in line with their plan. Day trading takes a lot of knowledge and skill and is not recommended for beginners to stock trading.

Long-term buy-and-hold means just that. You buy a stock because you think it is cheap or undervalued by the market and then you hold it for a long time (years usually). Warren Buffett, the greatest modern exponent of long-term investing says the best length of time to hold a stock is "forever". He has got very rich by doing just that, but it does require that you be able to understand (and believe) company accounts and that you are willing to invest the time needed to dig out gems that you are confident will rise over time. You can also of course just follow what Warren Buffet does - see Warren Buffett - this is known as coattail investing and is a good idea if you are prepared to wait at least 5 years to see a meaningful return on your money.

The third stock trading strategy you can adopt, which is in fact followed by a lot of people is known as swing trading. In swing trading you buy (or sell) a stock for a few days or weeks, although generally 2 to 5 days, when it is at the bottom of a channel, in the expectation that it will turn around and move up to the top of the channel, at which point you sell and take your profit and look for another trading opportunity. It is similar to day trading except for the time-scale. You don't need to understand the funamentals of the company or even when they sell.
An Uptrend

In swing trading, you still have to decide which stocks to trade, so rules have been devised that help swing traders spot good trading opportunities.

First, you need to find a stock (or an index, or whatever it is that you wish to trade) that is in a trend. A 'trend' means that the stock has been heading higher or lower recently, you do not want a stock that is going sideways. In swing trading you need a minimum of volatility at least. You also need to find repeating and predictable patterns in a stock's chart. If a stock is acting in a predictable manner then you have a chance of predicting what it is going to do next. What you are looking for is a stock (or index etc...) that is likely to move between 5% and 10% up or down. Once you have found such a stock then you need to assess the risk/reward ratio. You are looking for something where the reward outweighs the risk. If the risk is high but potential rewards are low or average then you look for something else.

Swing traders generally apply a number of criteria to the stocks they are considering trading.
1 - the stock price needs to be over $10.
2 - the daily volume should be higher than 500K shares.
The reason for these criteria is that market makers find like to manipulate prices to separate traders from their money and they find it easier to manipulate the prices of low volume, low cost penny stocks. So trying to apply swing trading to penny stocks is not recommended, they are too unpredictable.

To help you find a potentially good trade, you also need to understand how to analyze basic stock charts. Most stock traders these days use so-called "candlestick charts", these are analyzed using the stock price plus the 5-day, 10-day, 20-day and 50-day moving averages (although some swing traders like to mix and match their moving averages like using the 10-day simple moving average with the 30 day exponential moving average - but as a beginner it is probably better to learn the basics first). Any basic investing site will automatically give you a chart of the stock price you are interested in along with any moving averages you care to include. A moving average is simply the average price of a stock over a given period of time, but it is important to use them as they are what everyone else uses and as a small trader you need to follow the crowd, not get trampled to death trying to go the other way.

So you are looking for a stock that is in a trend. In addition to this the closing price needs to be above the 10-day and the 20-day "simple moving average" (s.m.a.) and the 10-day s.m.a. needs to be above the 20-day s.m.a.. and they both need to be trending upwards (see your friendly real-time stock site to get the chart for this).

One final point - if the 5 day moving average is heading down then it is not a good idea to buy that stock, look for a stock where the 5-day moving average is heading up.

As mentioned above, swing trading stocks and indices is all about the risk/reward ratio. You will never be able to make every trade a winning trade, so you need to limit your risks and maximize the rewards. To do this use a strategy such as below whenspending your money.

1. Buy in stages. If a stock gaps up as soon as the markets open 1% to 2%, then buy with just half the amount of money you intend using. Wait to see what happens. If the stock price continues to head up then you can buy more.

2. If a stock price gaps up 2% to 3% when the markets open, then only use a quarter of the money you intend using for that trade.

3. If the stock gaps up by more than 3% when the markets open, then the trade is too risky and the potential reward is too low so look for something else.

The profit aim in swing trading is around 5% to 10 %. The reason for this small profit margin is that once a stock has moved up 5 or 10% then it will probably hit 'resistance' and turn around and come back down. So the aim is to you close your trade for around 7% profit, wait for the stock price to fall back again and then do it all over again!

If, despite your best chart reading efforts, the stock price does not move up after you have bought it then close the position anyway, you probably got it wrong.

Stop losses.

What are stop losses? Stop losses are designed to ensure that your losses are limited. A stop loss is a decision to sell the stock if it falls back by a certain amount, no matter what. Too many people hang on to a stock they have bought when it goes down, in the hope that it will come back up and they can get their money back. This is a very bad strategy (personal experience can confirm this!). With a stop loss you limit your losses and live to fight another day. You are bound to make losses but the aim in swing trading is to ensure that your gains are greater than your losses.

You must therefore set your stop loss at the same time as you place your trade (or before if possible). Then if the trade goes wrong, the software on the trading site you are using should automatically get you out of your position. The actual percentage of your stop loss may vary, but if your profit objective is between 5% and 10% then your stop loss needs to be around 4%, meaning you are only willing to risk 4% of your money on that trade.

In addition to the the stock price and the moving averages there are other patterns swing traders look for such as candlestick patterns - the main bullish patterns you need to be able to recognize are the Hammer, the Engulfing pattern, the Piercing, the Harami, and the Doji.

One final piece of basic advice for all stock traders is "don't buy a stock that is below its 200-day moving average" - look at what happened to some of the major banks recently when they fell below their 200-day moving average ! It wasn't pretty.

Stock Charts -Support & Resistance


Online Stock Trading for Beginners - Understanding Support and Resistance on the Charts


Stock Charts for Beginners

When trying to analyze stock charts the two most basic concepts to understand are those of 'support' and 'resistance' of a stock price or a stock market index.

Support is defined as the price level which has supported a stock in the past i.e. which a stock has found it difficult to fall below. The reason it doesn't fall below this price is because a lot of buyers are willing to buy the stock at this price.

When a stock price drops down towards its support level it will either be reconfirmed as support or ignored. If a lot of buyers move in the stock price will move back up thus confirming the support level, if there are not enough buyers the stock price will continue to fall and the support level is not confirmed. Typically if a support level is broken through, the stock price will continue falling for a while then eventually turn back up and the old support level now become a 'resistance' level.

Resistance is defined as the price level which a stock rises to before it meets 'resistance' (i.e. more sellers than buyers) and has to fall back.

Often a stock price will bounce around between a support level and a resistance level like a horizontal zig-zag line. This is known as a sideways trend and traders will often trade it by buying at the bottom of the trend and selling at the top of the trend. This by the way is the opposite of what Warren Buffet does, he is a long-term trader who buys a stock at what he considers to be a fair price and then holds it for years or even decades.

Online Stock Trading for Beginners
Although support and resistance are very basic concepts in stock trading chart analysis, they are nonetheless very important, as traders base anywhere between 80% and 90% of their trades on these simple concepts of support and resistance i.e. buying at the bottom of a trend (sometimes called a channel) and selling at the top.

This of course explains why charts work, because traders tend to sell at certain levels and buy back at certain levels, thus creating patterns which then become self-fulfilling prophecies !

The following video by the guys at TJMacTrading on support and resistance in stock charts should make things clearer.



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Stock Charts and Moving Averages
Buying Stocks Online